Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000708 0.000807 0.000912 0.001031 0.001162 0.001301 0.001460
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000566 0.000705 0.000863 0.001054 0.001277 0.001529 0.001831
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000491 0.000649 0.000837 0.001073 0.001359 0.001692 0.002106
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000415 0.000581 0.000786 0.001054 0.001390 0.001792 0.002305
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000355 0.000523 0.000739 0.001030 0.001407 0.001869 0.002474
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000315 0.000488 0.000716 0.001033 0.001453 0.001981 0.002684
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000286 0.000461 0.000701 0.001044 0.001508 0.002102 0.002909
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000248 0.000420 0.000663 0.001018 0.001511 0.002156 0.003045
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000215 0.000381 0.000624 0.000989 0.001506 0.002196 0.003162
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000194 0.000358 0.000606 0.000986 0.001537 0.002282 0.003341
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000176 0.000338 0.000589 0.000985 0.001567 0.002368 0.003522
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000157 0.000315 0.000567 0.000973 0.001581 0.002431 0.003670
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000138 0.000291 0.000541 0.000954 0.001586 0.002482 0.003806
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000130 0.000284 0.000542 0.000977 0.001652 0.002621 0.004067
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000122 0.000275 0.000541 0.000994 0.001710 0.002749 0.004316
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000108 0.000256 0.000518 0.000977 0.001713 0.002798 0.004452
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000095 0.000236 0.000493 0.000955 0.001708 0.002833 0.004568
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000225 0.000484 0.000957 0.001741 0.002924 0.004767
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000217 0.000480 0.000967 0.001786 0.003035 0.004996
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000200 0.000456 0.000943 0.001774 0.003059 0.005097
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000183 0.000432 0.000915 0.001756 0.003071 0.005180
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000174 0.000422 0.000913 0.001778 0.003146 0.005358
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000166 0.000413 0.000912 0.001802 0.003224 0.005542